Friday, November 9, 2012

Turkey – 3Q financial results announced by various banks; for first 9 months of 2012 Akbank boasts a profit of 2.47 bln TRY, Vakif Bank a profit of 1.00 bln, and Bank Asya a profit of 0.39 bln, but all three actually fall below year-earlier results - UPDATED

On 8 November a number of banks in Turkey published their financial results for the quarter ended 30 September 2012.  The headlines were all positive, but the actual facts were far from impressive (1 EUR = 2.2770 TRY at time of writing):

Akbank T.A.Ş.: “Akbank makes profit of 2.4 billion TRY”.  The figure represents the bank’s consolidated net operating income (before taxes) for the first nine months of 2012.  For Jan.-Sept. 2012 the consolidated net operating income (sürdürülen faaliyetler vergi öncesi k/z) was indeed 2.470 bln TRY, but for the same period in the year earlier the profit had been 2.477 bln TRY.  Given that inflation in Turkey has not been negligible, this is not a particularly impressive result.  The bank’s net income was 1.907 bln TRY for the first nine months of 2012, but 1.960 bln TRY for the same period in 2011.

The biggest change from 2011 on the income side was in interest on loans (3.779 bln → 5.322 bln), while on the expense side the biggest change was in interest on deposits (2.896 bln → 3.730 bln).  These two increases are explained by the fact that the bank’s total loans (krediler ve alacaklar) in TRY increased by 34.9% in the first nine months of 2012 (42.000 bln → 56.667 bln).  Non-performing loans (takipteki krediler) also increased, from 1.263 bln (1.74%) at 31 Dec. 2011 to 1.416 bln (1.63%) at 30 Sept. 2012.

Sources:
Akbank 3Q 2012 Consolidated financial statements (audited by Ernst & Young): Denetim Raporu
  

VakifBank (Türkiye Vakıflar Bankası T.A.O.): “Vakifbank makes net profit of 1 billion TRY”.  Here the figure in question is the bank’s consolidated net (after-tax) profit for the 9-month period.  In its announcement VakifBank tries to put a rosy face on its results for the first nine months of 2012, pointing out that the bank had opened 61 new branches and created many jobs, but as with Akbank the bare financial result is far from noteworthy.

Comparing VakifBank’s audited financial statements for 3Q 2012 with data from previous years we note the following (all figures in millions of TRY):

Net Profit/Loss from Continuing Operations (Sürdürülen faalġyetler dönem net k/z):

1Q-3Q 2012: 1,009.348
1Q-3Q 2011:    965.135
1Q-3Q 2010:    764.544

3Q 2012: 305.189
3Q 2011: 316.093
3Q 2010: 224.857

While it is true that the figure of 1.009 billion TRY does represent an increase of 4.58% over the result for the year-earlier period, according to official inflation statistics published by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey the consumer price index in Turkey over the same 12-month period between Sept. 2011 and Sept. 2012 rose by no less than 9.19%.  So the y-o-y earnings results did not even keep pace with inflation.

The situation is even less impressive if the third quarter is considered alone: earnings for 3Q 2012 were 3.45% less than earnings in the year-earlier period, even before taking inflation into account.

Aside from earnings, VakifBank also seems to be struggling with non-performing loans:

Provision for Non-Performing Loans and Other Receivables (Kredi ve diğer alacaklar değer düşüş karşiliği)

1Q-3Q 2012: 839.727
1Q-3Q 2011: 608.832
1Q-3Q 2010: 740.440

The notes to the bank’s financial statements reveal that of the 230.895 mln TRY increase in provision for non-performing loans between 1Q-3Q 2011 and the same period in 2012, a total of 61.495 mln of this came from loans classified as Group III recovery class (51.794 → 113.289 mln TRY) and 136.496 mln of it came from Group IV loans (172.908 → 309.404 mln TRY), while the provision for loans that are considered completely “unrecoverable” – Group V – actually declined (50.441 → 13.327 mln TRY).

Sources:
VakifBank’s consolidated financial statements for 3Q 2012: 30 Eylül 2012 - Konsolide Olmayan Finansal Tablolar ve Sınırlı Bağımsız Denetim Raporu (2012-11-09 12:57:45)
VakifBank’s interim report for September 2012: Eylül 2012 Ara Dönem Faaliyet Raporu (2011-11-09 13:00:10)
Vakifbank results for 3Q 2011: Eylül 2011 Konsolide Raporlar, tab 3 (“gelir”), line 44
  

Bank Asya  (Asya Katılım Bankası A.Ş.): “Bank Asya achieves profit of 389 million TRY”.  Here the figure in question is claimed to represent unconsolidated net income for the 9-month period “before provisions”.  (“Bank Asya’nın 2012 yılı üçüncü çeyrek sonu itibarıyla karşılıklar öncesi kârı, geçen senenin aynı dönemine göre yüzde 35 oranında artarak 389 milyon TL’ye ulaştı.”)  We might suspect that here the management is trying to distract us from something unpleasant, since there is nothing in the bank’s income statement that even remotely matches this figure of 389 million TRY, and the bank’s press release in fact goes on to state that net income after taxes and loan loss provisions was 154 million TRY.  In the bank’s financial statements this would correspond to the line “Net profit (loss) from continuing operations” (“XVII. Sürdürülen faaliyetler dönem net k/z”), which in fact amounts to 154,321 thousand TRY for the 1Q-3Q 2012.  Because for the same 9-month period in 2011 the corresponding figure was 164,061 thousand TRY, fully 5.9% higher even before considering inflation, it is clear that the bank’s management has little to boast about.

As for the figure “389 million”, it would seem to be drawn from the consolidated statement of cash flows (“Konsolide olmayan nakit akiş tablosu”), where one does indeed find an entry equivalent to “389 million TRY” under the heading “Net increase in cash and cash equivalent assets” (“V. Nakit ve nakde eşdeğer varliklardaki net artiş”), where the figure given is 388,713 thousands of Turkish lira.

The seeming evasiveness is puzzling, since in general the bank’s results in Jan.-Sept. 2012 were much better than those in the same period of 2011: net interest income in the 2012 period was 636 million TRY, up from 472 million in the 2011 period, and as a result net operating income in 1Q-3Q 2012 was 976 million, up from 764 million in the earlier period.  But this positive result was largely cancelled out by a more than doubling in the provision for loan losses and other receivables (“IX. Kredi ve diğer alacaklar değer düşüş karşiliği”), which grew from 143 million TRY in 1Q-3Q 2011 to 303 million TRY in 1Q-3Q 2012.  This difference came about largely due to a virtual explosion in the bank’s non-performing loans that are classified as “uncollectible” (“V. Grup – Zarar niteliğindeki krediler ve diğer alacaklar”), which more than tripled from 61 million TRY in 1Q-3Q 2011 to 195 million TRY in 1Q-3Q 2012.  This intriguing fact was for some reason omitted from the bank’s press release.

Sources:
Bank Asya interim report for 3Q 2012 (containing figure of “389 million”): 2012 Faaliyet Raporları - 3. Dönem Solo Faaliyet Raporu
Bank Asya audited financial statements for 3Q 2012: Denetim Raporları - 30 Eylül 2012 - Solo Bağımsız Denetim Raporu – BDDK


Mark Pleas
Eastern Europe Banking & Deposits Consultant