Thursday, June 27, 2013

Bosnia – Regulator revokes banking license of commercial bank Postbank BH and places it in liquidation, presumably wiping out investment by Slovenian-run Poteza Adriatic Fund

 

On 25 June the Sarajevo-based commercial bank Postbank BH (Postbank BH Poštanska banka Bosne i Hercegovine d.d. Sarajevo), whose banking license had been revoked five days earlier on 20 June, issued a public announcement to all of the bank’s creditors, including its depositors.  The announcement explained that each creditor has 60 days from the date of publication to present to the bank’s liquidation administrator evidence of his or her legal claim on the bank and the amount of that claim.  Because the bank was not a member of the Deposit Insurance Agency of Bosnia and Herzegovina (Агенција за осигурање депозита Босне и Херцеговине), all deposits at the bank were uninsured unless individual depositors bought commercial deposit insurance.  (N.B.: The Bosnian mark (BAM) has been pegged to the euro at a rate of BAM 1 = EUR 0.51129 since 1 January 2002, in continuance of an earlier peg of the BAM to the Deutsche Mark at BAM 1 = DEM 1.)

Postbank’s banking license was revoked on 20 June by the Banking Agency of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina  (FBA Агенција за банкарство Федерације Босне и Херцеговине) because the bank’s equity had for a considerable time been below the statutory limit, and repeated attempts to find parties able to recapitalize or purchase the bank had met with no success.  The bank had been in provisional administration since 5 October 2010, and the banking agency’s revocation of the license on 20 June was carried out at the recommendation of the bank’s provisional administrator for the bank, Ćamil Klepo.   With the revocation of the license the term of the provisional administrator came to an end, and the banking agency appointed a liquidator for the bank in the person of Mr. Hazim Škapur.

The bank was founded in Sarajevo in 1997 as a publicly owned, limited-liability company by the postal service of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina.  (The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina – or “FBiH” – is one of the three entities constituting Bosnia and Herzegovina since the Dayton agreement of 1995.)  In September 2001 ownership of the bank was transferred from the postal service of FBiH to the Ministry of Finance of FBiH.  The bank proved unable to meet minimum capital requirements and the Ministry of Finance was unsuccessful in privatizing the bank, so on 10 April 2003 the FBA, acting on a request from the Ministry of Finance and a decision by the government of FBiH, placed the bank under provisional administration.

After a successful recapitalization of BAM 20,820,000 at the end of 2006, the FBA cancelled the provisional administration on 30 June 2007 and the bank began to operate as a joint stock company.  In November-December 2008 the shareholder capital was increased by an additional BAM 10,000,000 to BAM 28,442,800 through the issue of 100,000 ordinary shares at a price of BAM 100 each. 

Yet the bank continued to rack up losses, so its shareholder equity soon fell once again below the legal minimum, and on 5 October 2010 the FBA appointed a provisional administrator for the second time.  One of the first acts of the administrator was to freeze all deposits of greater than BAM 3,500 (€ 1,790).


Annual financial results for Postbank BH,
2006-2012 (in BAM)


Year
Net profit/loss
2012
-1,404,000
2011
-4,393,000
2010
-4,364,000
2009
-3,151,000
2008
-5,529,000
2007
-4,110,000
2006
-893,000


On 15 February 2011 the then-provisional administrator, Stjepan Jovičić, published a call for bids for recapitalization of the bank through a closed placement of shares, inviting interested investors to submit, within 15 days, bids of at least BAM 13,000,000.  In the evaluation of the bids a weight of 80% was to be assigned to the amount of the recapitalization offered by the investor, and a weight of 20% to the content of a 3-year business plan for the bank to be submitted by the investor.

In mid-March 2011 the provisional administrator revealed to the press that serious bids had been received from two parties: 1) Framingham Asset Management Inc., a firm in the British Virgin Islands affiliated with FAM Funds of Switzerland, and 2) Balkan Investment Bank a.d., a bank in Bosnia and Herzegovina controlled by Russian investor Vladimir Romanov, owner of Lithuania’s commercial bank Ūkio Bankas (whose banking license would end up being revoked on 12 February 2013 by the Lithuanian central bank, as discussed earlier in this column).

This attempt to find investors failed, however, and the provisional administrator blamed the failure on uncertainty regarding the final outcome of several lawsuits that present or former employees had filed against the bank for unpaid wages and retirement benefits.  Although initial court rulings had found in favor of the employees, the bank had filed appeals, yet the sum total of such employee claims, if all appeals failed, would more than wipe out the little shareholder equity remaining in the bank.

On 21 August 2012 the provisional administration – Stjepan Jovičić having in the meantime been replaced as provisional administrator by Ćamil Klepo – published a new and broader invitation to investors.  The new invitation offered three possibilities: 1) recapitalization of the bank with at least BAM 13,000,000 of funds, 2) merger of the bank with some other bank already operating in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and 3) purchase of bank assets by some other bank already operating in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

On 28 November 2012 the provisional administrator issued a decision accepting FAM Funds as the first-ranked candidate, and on 17 January 2013 FAM Funds applied to the FBA for authorization to acquire a 66.7% stake in the bank.  The FBA requested from FAM Funds additional documentation from regulators in Switzerland and the Seychelles, and the bank’s annual report for 2012, completed on 29 May 2013, wrote that the administrator “expects that upon submission of the requested documentation the Banking Agency of FBiH will approve the request of FAM Funds, which would lead to implementation of the planned recapitalisation process of the Bank.”  It was not to be, as the press release issued by the FBA on 20 June 2013 that announced the revoking of the bank’s license noted that FAM Funds “did not prove to fulfill the prescribed legal conditions for obtaining an approval for gaining a significant ownership interest in the Bank.”

According to the bank’s annual report for 2012, which was completed on 29 May 2013, the bank at end-2012 had total assets (ukupno imovina) of BAM 50,025,000 (€ 25.6 mln), total loans of BAM 21,910,000, and total deposits of BAM 34,046,000.  Of the total deposits of BAM 34,046,000, no less than BAM 15,144,000 (44.5%) were in deposits related to the electrical utility JP Elektroprivreda d.d. Sarajevo.  This high dependence on a single depositor, as well as the bank’s continued losses and low capitalization, had obliged the bank’s auditor – Deloitte d.o.o. Sarajevo – to issue a “disclaimer of opinion” in the bank’s annual reports for 2009, 2010, 2011, and 2012.

As of 31 December 2012 the bank had branches in Sarajevo, Živinice, Tuzla, Mostar, Bihać, and Goražde.  As of the same date the bank continued to be owned 57.24% by Poteza Adriatic Fund B.V. Amsterdam, an investment fund operated by the Slovenian firm Poteza, podjetniške finance, d.o.o. of Ljubljana


Branka Remškar,
Director of Poteza Podjetniške Finance

Principal sources:
FBA notice of license revocation: Ukinuta dozvola za rad Postbanci BH Poštanskoj banci d.d. Sarajevo (2013-06-20)
Call for bids for recapitalization, acquisition or merger, or sales of assets with a purchase obligation – Bosnian: Javni poziv (2012-08-21)
Call for bids for recapitalization, acquisition or merger, or sales of assets with a purchase obligation – English: Public Invitation (2012-08-21)
Call for recapitalization bids – Bosnian: Javni poziv (2011-02-15)
Call for recapitalization bids – English: Public Announcement (2011-02-15)
FBA notice of initiation of provisional administration: Saopštenje za javnost: Uvedena privremena uprava u Postbank BH Poštansku banku BiH d.d. Sarajevo (2010-10-05)
Annual reports of Postbank BH, 2007-2012: Godišnji finansijski izvještaji


Saturday, June 15, 2013

Kazakhstan – AsiaCredit Bank receives downgrade from S&P; Regulator releases banking statistics for April; Update on condition of ATFBank at time of sale by UniCredit to KazNitrogenGaz on 1 May 2013



On 11 June 2013 the Frankfurt office of Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services published a press release announcing that the ratings firm had downgraded its credit ratings for AsiaCredit Bank.  Below is an excerpt from the press release:


Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today it had lowered its long- and short-term counterparty credit ratings on Kazakhstan-based JSC AsiaCredit Bank to 'B-/C' from 'B/B'. The outlook is stable.

At the same time, we lowered our Kazakhstan national scale rating on the bank to 'kzBB-' from 'kzBB+'.

The rating actions reflect our view that AsiaCredit Bank's capital position is weakening. This resulted from rapid loan growth over the past two years that was not sufficiently supported by shareholder capital injections, while earnings generation remained low. The postponement of a planned capital infusion in 2012 caused our risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio for AsiaCredit Bank to decline by more than we had anticipated. Consequently, we have revised our assessment of the bank's capital and earnings to adequate from strong.

We now forecast the RAC ratio (before adjustments for diversification) to decrease to 9.5%-10.0% over the next 12-18 months. This forecast is based on our assumption of loan growth of about 120% in 2013 and 45% in 2014, and fresh capital of Kazakhstani tenge (KZT) 3 billion (about $20 million) in the first half of 2013, KZT5 billion in October 2013, and KZT5 billion in 2014. However, because the majority shareholder has already postponed a capital injection, we are uncertain whether the planned injections would take place in the given time frame. If AsiaCredit Bank does not receive the planned KZT8 billion in additional capital this year, the RAC ratio could weaken further.

If the bank's future capital policy, philosophy, and growth rates were to differ from our current assumptions we could reassess our view of the bank's solvency.

AsiaCredit Bank's earnings capacity remains moderate, in our view. We expect the bank's net interest margins to remain depressed, due to the rising cost of attracting new customers, general market trends, onerous operating expenses because of high investments in franchise growth, and increasing provisions for the rapidly expanding credit portfolio. In our opinion, the bank is underprovisioned. The ratio of loan loss reserves to total loans was 1.7% at year-end 2012, according to International Financial Reporting Standards. This is insufficient to cover loans more than 90 days overdue (5.2% of total loans on Feb. 1, 2013) and restructured loans (about 5%). We consider that the bank would have to create significantly more provisions in 2013-2014, which would hamper its profitability and capacity to build up capital.

Furthermore, in our view AsiaCredit Bank's concentrated corporate depositor base leaves it exposed to potential large deposit outflows. This is although we acknowledge that AsiaCredit Bank's funding position differs little from that of other small to midsize Kazakh banks. We believe attracting retail deposits would entail a significant amount of investments in the distribution network and an increase in the cost of funding.

The ratings reflect our 'bb-' anchor for banks operating primarily in Kazakhstan, as well as AsiaCredit Bank's weak business position, adequate capital and earnings, moderate risk position, average funding, and adequate liquidity, as our criteria define these terms. The stand-alone credit profile is 'b-'.

The stable outlook on AsiaCredit Bank reflects our expectation that the bank will maintain adequate capitalization and liquidity during the rapid growth of its franchise over the next 12-24 months, while continuing to expand and diversify its depositor base. We anticipate an increase in nonperforming loans over the next two years as the loan portfolio matures.

[...]
 
AsiaCredit Bank (Kaz.: "AsiaCredit Bank" АҚ, Rus.: АО «AsiaCredit Bank») as of 1 May 2013 ranked 23rd in total assets among Kazakhstan’s 38 commercial banks.  On 1 May the bank had total assets of KZT 74.21 bln (€ 376.7 mln), total loans of KZT 44.53 bln (€ 226.1 mln) less loss provisions of KZT 0.82 bln, and total deposits of KZT 50.83 bln (€ 258.1 mln), of which 84.6% were from legal persons (e.g., businesses) and 15.4% were from individuals.  (On 1 May 2013 one euro equaled 196.98 Kazakhstani tenge (KZT) and one US dollar equaled 151.36 KZT.)

As of 1 June 2013 he bank was owned 81.58% by Sultan Nurbol Sarybayuly (Kaz.: Сұлтан Нұрбол Сарыбайұлы, Rus.: Султан Нурбол Сарыбайулы).


Sources:
Press release by S&P – English: S&P downgrades AsiaCredit Bank (Kazakhstan) ratings, Outlook "Stable" (2013-06-12)
Press release by AsiaCredit Bank: Изменение рейтингов Банка (2013-06-12)




In earlier news, on 29 May the central bank’s committee on bank regulation (Қазақстан Республикасы Ұлттық Банкінің Қаржы нарығын және қаржы ұйымдарын бақылау мен қадағалау комитеті) published monthly data for the banking sector for April.

Total interest income for the country’s 38 commercial banks in April was KZT 102,548.6 mln (€ 520.6 mln, $ 677.5 mln), down 2.0% from the total of KZT 104,596.1 mln in March.  Total interest expense in April was KZT 50,170.7 mln, down 1.6% from KZT 50,963.6 mln in March.  Pre-tax profit in April was KZT 22,360.2 mln, down 16.5% from total pre-tax profit of KZT 26,763.9 mln in March, but because the amount of income tax accrued in April was negative – KZT -5,160.9 mln – net profit in April was KZT 18,825.4 (€ 95.6 mln, $ 124.4 mln).  This result was lower than the net profit achieved in March (KZT 25,137.8 mln) but higher than the result for February (KZT 16,339.0 mln) – a month with only 28 days – and roughly equal to result achieved in January (KZT 19,414.2 mln).

The committee’s statistics also provide separate figures, on a monthly basis, for the excess of current expenses over income for banks that have recorded a pre-tax profit so far during the year and for banks that have recorded a pre-tax loss so far in the year.  On the side of unprofitable banks April was the worst month so far in 2013, as the year-to-date total for unprofitable banks increased by KZT 4,003.9 mln in April.  On the level of individual banks the data published on a monthly basis do not indicate pre-tax profit but only after-tax profit.  In April the following banks recorded net, after-tax losses:


Banks in Kazakhstan that recorded a net loss in April 2013


Bank
Result for month
(000 KZT)
Alliance Bank
-1,469,872
Temirbank
-1,338,021
ATFBank
-1,228,183
Nurbank
-872,844
Zaman-Bank
-64,970
PNB-Kazakhstan
-2,859



The banks with the largest cumulative net losses so far in 2013 are Alliance Bank with KZT -2,798.6 mln (€ 14.21 mln) and ATFBank with KZT -2,020.7 mln.  These two banks have their headquarters situated very close to each other on the east side of Furmanov Street in Almaty – as indeed do Halyk Bank and Bank of China in Kazakhstan as well – but there the resemblance between the two banks ends.

In 2009, when the financial crisis began to take its toll on the Kazakh banking sector, Alliance Bank («Альянс Банк» АҚ) was Kazakhstan’s 4th-largest lender.  On 19 March 2009 the bank became the first Kazakh lender to default on its bonds.  Until 4Q 2009 the majority owner of Alliance Bank continued to be Seimar Alliance Financial Corporation (АО "Финансовая Корпорация Сеймар Альянс"), but in late 2009 the bank began to be recapitalized by the state through the Samruk-Kazyna National Welfare Fund («Самұрық-Қазына» Ұлттық әл-ауқат қоры» АҚ), and in April 2010 the bank exited restructuring with its debts written down from USD 4.5 bln to roughly USD 1.0 bln.  In the table below are shown the net profit, quarter by quarter, of Alliance Bank along with ATFBank and – for comparison – Halyk Bank.


Quarterly financial results for Alliance Bank, ATFBank, and Halyk Bank,
2006-2013 (in 000 KZT)


Quarter
Halyk Bank
Alliance Bank
ATFBank
1Q 2013
14,926,758
-1,327,696
-792,553
4Q 2012
11,821,141
8,999,717
-7,515,984
3Q 2012
19,819,230
-1,122,887
-597,272
2Q 2012
15,571,689
4,985,263
3,060,504
1Q 2012
10,904,748
-5,215,097
-5,941,099
4Q 2011
9,150,167
-1,446,739
-11,553,981
3Q 2011
9,240,515
11,403,055
-9,777,162
2Q 2011
10,647,021
2,573,877
-694,690
1Q 2011
7,408,633
-1,584,370
-15,011,164
4Q 2010
5,855,591
3,067,472
-11,946,097
3Q 2010
4,493,797
16,853,886
-14,102,704
2Q 2010
11,159,867
-4,360,451
-12,346,865
1Q 2010
5,908,766
303,265,088
721,181
4Q 2009
14,836,210
122,049,505
424,291
3Q 2009
1,025,136
-80,034,479
3,039,298
2Q 2009
666,690
-625,953,124
615,297
1Q 2009
-13,936,444
-19,383,375
-2,642,783
4Q 2008
-6,925,910
-5,649,913
-27,129,787
3Q 2008
6,833,651
-3,686,997
3,378,846
2Q 2008
2,848,162
3,807,665
8,860,663
1Q 2008
7,047,629
7,039,695
-13,321,542
4Q 2007
3,657,026
7,084,609
-5,114,034
3Q 2007
11,487,817
12,551,160
6,520,763
2Q 2007
9,245,329
9,179,855
3,879,685
1Q 2007
8,336,563
8,402,037
765,692
4Q 2006
5,167,728
8,629,390
2,305,059
3Q 2006
8,004,916
2,602,709
1,031,284
2Q 2006
4,144,221
1,261,538
2,349,530
1Q 2006
3,381,101
842,234
826,431



As is clear from the table, Alliance Bank’s profits peaked in 3Q 2007 and quickly began to decline.  By 1Q 2009 the bank was so far into the red that it was forced to suspend repayment of its bonds and accept a recapitalization plan from the government.  A year of restructuring followed, but from 2Q 2010 onward the bank was once again operating under normal banking rules.  In the three years from 2Q 2010 through 1Q 2013 Alliance Bank has seen six quarters in the black and six in the red, but with a net result in the black: a profit of KZT 32.8 bln.

Very different is the story of ATFBank («АТФБанк» АҚ).  That bank enjoyed continuous and fairly steady profits until 4Q 2007, when it suddenly slid into the red.  Since that time the bank has stayed almost continually in the red, the one notable exception being a stretch of 4 straight quarters, from early 2009 to early 2010, when the bank earned very modest profits (a total of KZT 4.8 bln).  In the 22 quarters since 4Q 2007 the bank has had 7 quarters in the black and 15 quarters in the red, with its total result for these 22 quarters being a loss of KZT 84.6 bln.

ATFBank’s first quarter in the red was 4Q 2007.  This is three full quarters before the bankruptcy filing of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. on 15 September 2008, but it happens to be the same quarter in which ATFBank changed ownership, as in November the bank was bought out by the Austrian subsidiary of Italy’s UniCredit Group as discussed in this column earlier.  Either the departing managers and owners skillfully left the bank in a boobytrapped condition, set to explode within just one or two months of handover, or the new Italian owners somehow turned a profitable bank into a consistent loser in just one or two months at the helm.  Which is the case?

One way to resolve the question might be to compare the unconsolidated results of ATFBank in Kazakhstan with the results of its subsidiary in neighboring Kyrgyzstan.  This subsidiary, owned 97.14% by ATFBank, was known until June 201 as ATF Bank - Kyrgyzstan (ОАО «АТФБанк - Кыргызстан») and thereafter as OJSC UniCredit Bank (ОАО «ЮниКредит Банк»).  As of 31 March 2013 the parent bank in Kazakhstan had – on a separate, unconsolidated basis – total assets of KZT 848,939,989,000 (€ 4,391.1 mln), while the subsidiary in Kyrgyzstan had total assets of KGS 12,326,049,000 (€ 200.5 mln), meaning that the unconsolidated Kazakh parent is about 22 times the size of the Kyrgyz subsidiary.

Records show that although UniCredit, after its acquisition of ATFBank, immediately began to insert its own people into the Kazakh parent – first on the Supervisory Board and then on the Management Board – it largely left the Kyrgyz subsidiary alone.  A comparison of the results for the two banks might therefore be instructive, to see whether they move up and down together.


Quarterly financial results for ATFBank in Kazakhstan and its subsidiary in Kyrgyzstan (ATF Bank - Kyrgyzstan / OJSC UniCredit Bank), 2005-2013


Quarter
ATFBank
(in 000 KZT)
Kyrgyz subsidiary
(in 000 KGS)
1Q 2013
-792,553
156,496
4Q 2012
-7,515,984
176,901
3Q 2012
-597,272
245,959
2Q 2012
3,060,504
166,958
1Q 2012
-5,941,099
144,976
4Q 2011
-11,553,981
141,588
3Q 2011
-9,777,162
156,579
2Q 2011
-694,690
125,253
1Q 2011
-15,011,164
96,583
4Q 2010
-11,946,097
116,185
3Q 2010
-14,102,704
81,751
2Q 2010
-12,346,865
70,577
1Q 2010
721,181
71,487
4Q 2009
424,291
86,645
3Q 2009
3,039,298
87,648
2Q 2009
615,297
57,824
1Q 2009
-2,642,783
54,487
4Q 2008
-27,129,787
70,100
3Q 2008
3,378,846
76,510
2Q 2008
8,860,663
48,674
1Q 2008
-13,321,542
32,370
4Q 2007
-5,114,034
50,174
3Q 2007
6,520,763
35,515
2Q 2007
3,879,685
31,547
1Q 2007
765,692
42,568
4Q 2006
2,305,059
11,952
3Q 2006
1,031,284
22,873
2Q 2006
2,349,530
12,664
1Q 2006
826,431
7,221
4Q 2005
2,214,964
19,303
3Q 2005
415,868
-3,025
2Q 2005
404,707
5,738
1Q 2005
1,253,838
15,231

(N.B.: During this entire period the exchange rate between the Kyrgyzstani som and the Kazakhstani tenge stayed fairly constant, usually averaging roughly 1 KGS = 3.2 KZT.)

As should be clear from the table, the subsidiary in Kyrgyzstan followed a very different path from the parent bank in Kazakhstan.  Except for one minuscule loss two years before the acquisition of ATFBank by UniCredit, the Kyrgyz subsidiary has recorded continuous profits, quarter after quarter, for eight years.  It did not stumble in 4Q 2007 when ATFBank fell into the red, and it did not falter in 4Q 2008 when other banks began to suffer from the arrival of the post-Lehman crisis.

[Article to be continued in the near future]

Principal sources:
Quarterly data for OJSC UniCredit Bank in Kyrgyzstan: Квартальная отчетность