Monday, March 4, 2013

Poland – PKO Bank Polski sees lower profits for Polish banks in 2013; Bank Zachodni WBK reschedules publishing of 2012 results and grants € 12 mln credit facility to construction firm Budimex; Financial Supervision Authority revises “Recommendation T”, easing conditions on retail loans in attempt to boost economic growth


On 4 March 2013 the Polish Press Agency (PAP) published statements from a press conference held by Paweł Borys, director of the strategy and analysis department of the commercial bank PKO Bank Polski SA (PKO BP).  At the conference Mr. Borys said that the bank foresees that net profits in Poland’s banking sector could fall by 10-15% in 2013, and that he does not see reason to expect that his own bank will perform differently from the rest of the market.  For 2013 he says that the bank predicts GDP growth for Poland of 1.2-1.6%, growth in deposits of 2-3%, and growth in loans of 5.0-5.5%.  PKO BP is Poland’s largest bank by assets.

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Also on 4 March, Bank Zachodni WBK S.A. (BZ WBK) announced that it had rescheduled the publishing of its 2012 consolidated and unconsolidated annual reports from 7 March to 8 March.  Earlier on 4 March the construction firm Budimex S.A. made a public filing indicating that it had signed a credit agreement with BZ WBK for an overdraft facility of up to PLN 50 mln (€ 12.1 mln), available through 3 March 2014.  Several days earlier, on 28 February, it had been reported that Budimex, in consortium with its parent company, the Spanish contractor Ferrovial S.A., had filed the lowest bid – PLN 582.23 mln net (€ 140.8 mln) – in the tender for the item “Machinery and other” (Budowlane i inne) in Phase II of Stage I of the construction the Pomeranian Metropolitan Railway (Pomorska Kolej Metropolitalna – PKM).

Pomeranian Metropolitan Railway – Location of the project

Bank Zachodni WBK, Poland’s third largest bank by assets, is owned 75.19% by Spain’s Banco Santander S.A. and 16.17% by Belgium’s KBC Group N.V.

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In earlier news, on 26 February the governing board of the Financial Supervision Authority (Komisja Nadzoru Finansowego – KNF) held its 175th meeting.  The meeting voted on a number of items, but most importantly it approved a set of revisions to the Authority’s “Recommendation T” for banks – originally issued in February 2010 – which stipulates best practices for banks in risk management of retail credit exposures.  The revised version of the Recommendation will enter into force no later than 31 July 2013.

The vote to approve the revisions to “Recommendation T” was narrow: 4 votes to 3.  But what earned the decision headlines in Poland was the fact that in the vote the ruling board was split strictly down the middle.  The three inside members of the Authority’s board – Chairman Andrzej Jakubiak, Vice-Chairman Wojciech Kwaśniak, and Vice-Chairman Lesław Gajek – voted against the proposal, while the four outside members – Witold Koziński (National Bank of Poland), Ludwik Kotecki (Ministry of Finance), Jacek Męcina (Ministry of Labour and Social Policy), and Jerzy Pruski (representative of the President of the Republic of Poland) – all voted in favor of the proposal.

The split in the voting is explained by a difference in outlook: the outside members, representing the government at large, think it is time for retail credit standards to be loosened to spur economic growth, and the inside members, representing the regulator itself, disagree.  An earlier version of the revisions, prepared by the KNF itself, had been rather cautious, but the version submitted to a vote on 26 February was much more aggressive, e.g., doubling the limits for loans that can be granted without evidence of income (Rekomendacja 7).

Among the most important changes to “Recommendation T” approved by the decision of 26 February are the following:

·         While under the previous version some rules did not apply to all banks, under the new version all rules will apply to all banks covered by Polish law or to foreign bank branches operating in Polish territory.

·         Under the previous version, the debt-to-income (DTI) ratio was limited to 50% for borrowers with income at or below the national average and to 65% for other borrowers, regardless of the currency in which the loan was denominated (Rekomendacja 10.4).  Under the revised version each bank will set its own DTI limits, with the bank’s management to develop the limits subject to approval by the bank’s supervisory board and in accordance with the bank’s risk-management strategy.

·         The new version establishes particular limits for loans that can be made – without the customer needing to produce evidence of income – to customers who have had a relationship with the bank for at least 6 months or for at least 12 months.

Sources:
Recommendation T – Proposed revisions approved by KNF in February 2013: Rekomendacja T dotycząca dobrych praktyk w zakresie zarządzania ryzykiem detalicznych ekspozycji kredytowych (luty 2013 r.) (35 pages)


Mark Pleas
Eastern Europe Banking & Deposits Consultant