Saturday, June 8, 2013

Kazakhstan – Four banks voice opposition to central bank’s plan to create a unified ATM processing center with lower fees for consumers; IMF mission issues concluding statement expressing support for increased inspection of banks and strict ceilings on NPL levels


On 5 June the governor of the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan (Қазақстан Республикасы Ұлттық Банкінің - NBRK) gave journalists an update on the status of a draft law that the central bank is preparing for parliament that would introduce a single provider of ATM processing services (единый процессинговый центр – ЕПЦ) for all of Kazakhstan, to be owned 50% (plus 1 share) by the central bank and the remaining 50% (less 1 share) by the commercial banks.

Grigoriy A. Marchenko (Григорий Александрович Марченко), governor of the central bank from 1999 to 2004 and from 2009 to the present, told a press conference that the draft law, once consultation with the banks and with various government ministries and departments is complete, should be ready for parliament by 1 July.  He noted that four large banks have indicated their opposition to the plan: Kazkommertsbank, Halyk Bank, Sberbank of Russia (Kazakhstan), and VTB Bank (Kazakhstan), which respectively were ranked 2nd, 1st, 5th, and 20th in Kazakhstan by assets as of 1 May.

Already in a press conference held on 9 April the governor had indicated that while the majority of small and medium-sized banks in Kazakhstan supported the plan, the larger banks that have large ATM networks of their own were opposed to the idea.  The motivation behind the single ATM transaction processor is to lower costs for consumers, as some banks are said to charge as much as 5% for withdrawals made at other banks’ ATMs.  The central bank is preparing the draft law at the behest of the president of Kazakhstan, Nursultan Nazarbayev, who in January also ordered the preparation of a single, unified pension fund to replace the 11 existing funds.  A similar attempt to create a unified processing center was initiated in 2000 but faded away into obscurity after 2005.

Two days earlier, on 3 June the business portal Kapital.kz published the results of a survey it had carried out among businesses concerning the proposed unified ATM transaction processing system.  More than 30% of respondents predicted that the creation of such a system and a reduction in ATM fees would force banks to compensate by raising rates for other services.  Similarly, 26.4% of those polled said the creation of the system would lead to a worsening of service for ATM customers.  In addition, 18.6% of respondents thought the plan was a good idea because it would lead to lower ATM fees, 15.4% felt that the system would lead to an increase in the number of ATMs in Kazakhstan, while 9.4% thought that the proposed system would have no effect on the operations of banks.

Sources:
Forbes Kazakhstan editorial against the proposal: Не ЕПЦ единым, by Константин Горожанкин, генеральный менеджер CNP Processing GmbH (March 2013)



In other news, on June 3 a mission of the International Monetary Fund completed a visit to Kazakhstan, and on 4 June published a concluding statement in Astana.  The section of the statement dealing with the banking sector is produced verbatim in its entirety below, with emphasis as per the original. 

[...]

3. In the financial sector, ongoing efforts to address stability risks should include enhanced supervision and macroprudential surveillance. We welcome the decision to exit from state ownership in troubled banks. To bolster the stability of the banking system as a whole and to avoid the emergence of new risks, the exit should take place in a fully transparent manner. Meanwhile, private sector credit growth remains relatively weak overall, yet consumer lending is expanding rapidly from a low base at around 40 percent year-on-year. The authorities must ensure that risk management and lending practices are sufficiently robust to avoid exacerbating the NPLs problem. In this regard, further strengthening of supervision and macroprudential tools is crucial, including by bolstering on-site bank supervision, enhancing liquidity and credit risk assessments, stepping up the Early Warning System, and ensuring that banks have viable business plans.

4. In view of limited progress on the resolution of NPLs, the authorities are adopting a more proactive posture. Despite the introduction of new measures in 2012, NPLs remain high at around 30 percent. Progress has been limited by banks’ unwillingness to sell assets in the expectation of a price recovery, the complexity of the loan-restructuring process, and social constraints in resolving mortgages. In view of this, we welcome the authorities’ consideration of a more flexible approach to the design of the Problem Loan Fund, to make it more attractive to banks and to increase its size if necessary. We particularly welcome the introduction of ceilings on NPLs and urge the authorities to enforce these strictly and on a consolidated basis, while ensuring adequate provisions. Extending the tax exemption for banks and buyers of distressed debt beyond 2013 should also help.

5. The monetary policy stance remains appropriate. Notwithstanding recent hikes in administered utility prices, inflationary pressures and growth in monetary aggregates have been relatively contained. With projected headline inflation hovering around the midpoint of the objective range (6-8 percent) and core inflation stable, the National Bank of Kazakhstan (NBK) is expected to keep its policy interest rate on hold in the coming months. This stance may need to be reevaluated if excess liquidity in the banking system translates into more rapid private sector credit expansion or if fiscal policy turns out looser than currently expected.

6. Discussions with the NBK clarified the positive steps that are being taken to enhance the regulation of liquidity in the banking system. In view of limited instruments for efficiently managing the buildup of excess liquidity in recent years, the NBK has: (i) excluded banks’ cash on hand and correspondent accounts in foreign currency from the reserve assets to assess more accurately the size of tenge liquidity; and (ii) been more active in the provision of short-term liquidity to banks through repo operations to smooth seasonal fluctuations in liquidity conditions (e.g. relating to quarterly tax payments). Moreover, the NBK plans to engage in more active open market operations (OMOs) for both the provision and withdrawals of liquidity, through changes to its standing facilitates and introduction of a new repo rate between the two standing facilities’ interest rates.

[...]
  
Sources:
Russian translation from NBRK website: Заключительное заявление миссии МВФ 2013 г. (2013-06-04)