Saturday, June 1, 2013

Cyprus – Central bank reveals that sale of Cypriot banks’ Greek branches to Piraeus Bank was mandated by Troika as a precondition for “bailout”; Central bank and MOF dispute press reports about results of anti-money-laundering assessment



On 28 May the Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, Panicos O. Demetriades (Πανίκος Ο. Δημητριάδης) gave testimony before the Committee on Institutions (Η Κοινοβουλευτική Επιτροπή Θεσμών) of the House of Representatives, the unicameral parliament of Cyprus.

The session had been called to examine the circumstances surrounding the sale of the Greek branches of three Cypriot banks – Bank of Cyprus (BOC), Cyprus Popular Bank (“Laiki Bank”), and Hellenic Bank – to the Greek commercial bank Piraeus Bank (Τραπεζα Πειραιως Α.Ε.) on 26 March for € 500 mln.  Many rumors were in circulation regarding the motives behind this sale, and in his testimony Demetriades stated that the decision to sell the three banks’ branches in Greece was a “political decision”, and it had been made by the Troika itself when it made the sale of the branches a precondition for any bailout during the negotiations in March.

CBC Governor Panicos Demetriades

The Cypriot media treated the news as a surprising revelation, but the news that the sale of the Greek banking assets was a Troika precondition for any “bailout” had already been made public earlier.  On 2 May the newspaper Phileleftheros had published the text of a 24 April letter from Demetriades to parliamentarian Irene Charalambidou which stated this at the outset: “The sale of branches of Cypriot banks in Greece was placed by the international lenders as a precondition for the signing of a memorandum for financial assistance to Cyprus.” (Η πώληση των υποκαταστημάτων των Κυπριακών τραπεζών στην Ελλάδα είχε τεθεί από τους Διεθνείς Δανειστές ως προϋπόθεση για την υπογραφή μνημονίου για οικονομική βοήθεια προς την Κύπρο.)  Even earlier, on 2 April the CBC had published prominently on its website a press release – in both Greek and English – stating clearly that the order given to the government of Cyprus was “political”:


The Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) wishes to clarify that the sale of the branches of the three Cypriot banks in Greece had been set by the Troika as a condition for the approval of Cyprus’s financial support programme. If the Cypriot government had not agreed to this sale, the negotiations with the Troika for the finalisation of the Memorandum of Understanding would have been terminated, with the consequent disorderly collapse of the financial system and of the country itself.

In the main text of the Eurogroup’s decision on 25 March 2013, the following is stated:

‘The Eurogroup urges the immediate implementation of the agreement between Cyprus and Greece on the Greek branches of the Cypriot banks, which protects the stability of both the Greek and Cypriot banking systems.’

As a result of the above political mandate, which was agreed with the government of Cyprus at the Eurogroup on 26 March 2013, a relevant agreement was reached. Following this, the CBC, serving as the Resolution Authority, took into account the opinion of the Minister of Finance and issued a Decree on the same day, through which the operations of the branches of Laiki Bank and Bank of Cyprus in Greece would be sold to Piraeus Bank in Greece. It should be noted that the agreement also involved Hellenic Bank and, therefore, the operations of Hellenic’s branches in Greece were also sold to Piraeus Bank in Greece. The total value of assets transferred amounted to €16,4 billion and the total liabilities €15 billion. The total sale price received was calculated based on the methodology agreed by the Eurogroup on 25 March 2013 and amounts to €0,5 billion.

[...]

It is worth noting that the operations sold to Piraeus Bank were not subsidiaries but branches.  Readers of this column will have seen that the distinction is crucial – and for Cyprus may have been fatal – because a subsidiary is licensed by the host country and is outside the control of the home country’s banking supervisors, while a branch relies on licensing and supervision from the home country.

The terms of the original “bailout” agreement dictated by the Troika on 16 March – terms which instantly garnered headlines around the world – called for a “stability levy” to be taken out of every bank deposit under the control of the Cypriot central bank.  As announced, this would have applied equally to the branches of these three banks in Greece, and Demetriades in his testimony pointed out that the insured deposits alone of the three banks’ branches in Greece were estimated at € 9 bln.

Although the Eurogroup and the CBC praise the rapid sale of these three banks’ operations in Greece as helping improve the stability of the Cypriot banking system, it is evident that this action, taken behind closed doors, had the effect of exempting Greek depositors from the planned “stability levy”, and hence constituted in essence a backdoor bailout of Greece by Cypriot depositors, or, as one analyst termed it, ‘Cyprus’ Contribution to Recapitalization of Greece, Part II’.

A similar exemption was quietly inserted for UK depositors of Laiki Bank, but, as discussed earlier in this column, no such exemption was permitted to depositors of Cypriot bank branches in Romania or elsewhere in Eastern Europe.  (As noted here earlier, Russia does not permit foreign banks to operate in Russia through branches but only through Russian-licensed, Russian-supervised subsidiaries, so there was no danger that depositors in Russian subsidiaries of Cypriot banks might have their deposits subjected to the Troika’s levy.) 

Sources:
Πιέσεις ΕΕ για έξοδο τραπεζών από Ελλάδα (2013-05-29 10:05), with links to 26 March internal CBC memo from the Resolution Unit to the Governor (Πώληση των Ελληνικών υποκαταστημάτων της Τράπεζας Κύπρου και της Λαϊκής Τράπεζας) and 24 May letter from CBC governor Panicos Demetriades to Chairman of the House Institutions Committee Demetris Syllouris containing written submissions for the Committee meeting to be held on 28 May (Θέμα: Υποβολή γραπτού υπομνήματος σε σχέση με την προγραμματισμένη συνεδρία της Επιτροπής στις 28 Μαΐου, 2013)
CBC press release about sale of three banks’ branches to Piraeus Bank – in Greek: Πώληση των εργασιών των υποκαταστημάτων των τριών Κυπριακών τραπεζών στην Ελλάδα (2013-04-02)
CBC press release about sale of three banks’ branches to Piraeus Bank – in English: Sale of the branches of the three Cypriot banks in Greece (2013-04-02)



In other news, on 23 May the Central Bank of Cyprus (Κεντρική Τράπεζα της Κύπρου) and the Ministry of Finance (Υπουργείο Οικονομικών) published separate press releases disputing or rectifying media reports regarding the results of independent assessments carried out on Cyprus’s anti-money laundering (AML) procedures.

The Troika (EC, IMF, ECB) had placed as a precondition for any bailout – and not the only precondition, as we have seen – the carrying out of a third-party assessment of anti-money laundering practices in the Cypriot banking sector.

The assessment was to be carried out in two parts: one part to be carried out by “MONEYVAL”, and one to be carried out by “an independent auditor of the utmost integrity”.

“MONEYVAL” is the popular name for the “Committee of Experts on the Evaluation of Anti-Money Laundering Measures and the Financing of Terrorism”, a committee within the Council of Europe.  (The Council of Europe, which has 47 member countries, is not to be confused with the European Council, the supreme body of the 27-member EU.)  MONEYVAL’s scope of work, as defined by CBC and the Troika, was to carry out an assessment of the functioning of the legal and administrative structures in place, including analysis of the country’s business registry and of Suspicious Transaction Reports (STRs) submitted by banks.  Moneyval visited Cyprus from 19 to 31 March, and submitted its final report on 24 April.

The task of the independent auditor was to examine identity information for holders of deposits and loans at the largest banks in Cyprus in order to evaluate the adequacy of customer due diligence (CDD) being carried out by the banks.  The auditor chosen by the CBC, after an accelerated tender process, was Deloitte Financial Advisory S.r.l., an affiliate of Deloitte Italy S.p.A.  The CBC announced on 13 April that the contract had been given to Deloitte and that Deloitte had begun its work, and Deloitte too submitted its final report on 24 April.

After MONEYVAL and Deloitte submitted their final reports on 24 April 2013, a summary report was prepared.  The 4-page summary report, dated 10 May 2013 was entitled “CYPRUS – EFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATION OF CUSTOMER DUE DILIGENCE MEASURES; LEVEL OF IMPLEMENTATION OF PREVENTIVE MEASURES BY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS: SUMMARY REPORT OF MAIN FINDINGS BY MONEYVAL AND THE INDEPENDENT AUDITOR”.  The summary was marked “CONFIDENTIAL”, but as with all documents dealing with Cyprus it ended up being leaked to the public rather quickly, being published online by the Cypriot financial newssite Stockwatch on 16 May.

Although a 2011 assessment by MONEYVAL had given Cyprus a more than passing grade (higher than most Eurozone members, such as Germany, France, and Austria), the Troika had placed as its precondition the production of a report that focused particularly on Cyprus’s weaknesses or deficiencies in AML.  The leaked summary did indeed indicate six procedural areas as “shortcomings”, and observers critical of Cyprus were quick to seize on these and depict the island as a haven for money launderers.

The press releases issued by the Central Bank of Cyprus and the Ministry of Finance, therefore, were intended to present what they regarded as a more balanced view of the findings of MONEYVAL and Deloitte.  The English versions of the two statements are published below in their entirety, with emphasis as per the original.




Anti-money Laundering audit carried out in Cyprus

(23 May 2013)

In response to the press coverage of the three page summary paper dated 10 May 2013 [1], prepared on behalf of the "Troika" and intended to provide a resumé of the Moneyval and the Deloitte reports on the anti-money laundering (AML) audit recently carried out in Cyprus (the “Reports”), the Central Bank of Cyprus wishes to make the following comments:

The summary paper does not provide a synopsis of the main findings of the Reports but rather a description of the perceived weaknesses of the system, drawing inferences where none exist in the original Reports. The lack of consultation with the authors of the Reports and the failure to refer to any of the positive aspects mentioned therein, has resulted in erroneous and distorted conclusions in the media, especially the international press.

A summary of the Reports cannot be considered balanced if it omits to mention that they reveal a number of strengths both in the Cypriot AML framework and in the effective implementation of customer due diligence by Cypriot banks. The authorities are in the process of providing a detailed response to the Troika as well as to the Eurogroup.

The main positive findings of the Reports are listed below.

1. In the case of Deloitte, it was found that there is:

a) A solid level of compliance on Customer Due Diligence (CDD) across the sector. “Most importantly... the “All” column appears to indicate a generally solid level of compliance across the six banks with the following (4 out of 27) areas requiring further attention...

b) A very low level of suspicious activity that may be undetected. Deloitte’s forensic analysis covered over 570,000 transactions, with only 29 circumstances in which a transaction or pattern of activity was recommended for further investigation by the bank to establish reasonable explanation which could reduce this number further or a need to report. The data, therefore, provides an indication that any potentially suspicious transactions that may not be detected are not necessarily significant or systemic.

c)A stricter legal framework beyond normal EU standards. “In the audit for compliance with the CDD requirements of the Cyprus legal framework, it is worthy of note that these requirements are more detailed, and to a certain extent prescriptive, than in many other jurisdictions, including other EU Member States that similarly have implemented the requirements of the Third Money Laundering Directive.

d)A good level of due diligence conducted by Cypriot banks across all customers. This includes obtaining passports and verifying addresses of all the ultimate beneficial owners, including in cases involving politically exposed persons, with an ownership level of 10% or more. This is more diligent than the EU standard of 25%.

e) A proactive approach taken by the Cypriot authorities to reduce the risk of AML. “A recognition by the Cypriot authorities of the unique risks in the jurisdiction, and efforts to tailor requirements to mitigate those risks...


2. Moneyval’s report revealed that there is:

a) Strong implementation of CDD measures. “In general, the banks interviewed demonstrated high standards of knowledge and experience of AML/CFT issues, an intelligent awareness of the reputational risks they face and a broad commitment to implementing the CDD requirements set out in the law and in subsidiary regulations issued by the Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC). Implementation of CDD measures, as described by the banks, appeared strong under most headings.

b) Awareness of AML risks among managers.“In general, bank managements appear conscious of AML/CFT risks and supportive of strong preventive measures, including, where warranted, the rejection of some high risk business and/or closing of existing accounts.

c) Strong compliance in the identification of customers. “In line with the CBC Directive, banks confirmed that they identify customers in all cases and do not operate anonymous or numbered accounts. For international business, most customers are corporate entities and supporting documentation is obtained to confirm the identification of the customer, the directors and the owners. Although some of these structures are complex and can involve legal entities in two or more jurisdictions, there was a consistency in the responses of the banks that they are required to, and do in practice, identify all relevant parties through all layers of these structures. The assessors did not come upon any examples to suggest lack of understanding or weak compliance on this aspect.

d) Nothing unique to Cyprus. “A number of individual features of international banking business conducted in/through Cyprus, none of which are unique to Cyprus and many of which can be found in banking systems worldwide.

Considering the above findings as well as the Reports as a whole, there is no reference to or indication of systemic deficiencies. In contrast to the summary paper, the Reports indicate that the standard building blocks are in place, the AML preventive measures and procedures in banks are generally sound, and, generally, the banks have a high level of compliance with the statutory and regulatory requirements, which in some areas are more demanding than EU and international requirements. Some weaknesses are identified in the Reports, but the general picture portrayed is not negative, something that is not reflected in the summary paper.

AML is a challenge for all the international community. There is no perfect system that can guarantee the complete elimination of money laundering risk, as shown in the evaluations of the AML framework of countries in the relevant Moneyval and FATF reports. In addition, it should be stressed that no benchmarking of the Cyprus AML audit results was carried out, as this was a unique, focused and exceptional evaluation procedure not carried out in other countries.

The Cypriot authorities remain fully committed to strengthening any weak areas identified in the Reports. 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[1]The summary paper was titled “Cyprus – Effective implementation of Customer Due Diligence Measures Level of implementation of preventive measures by financial institutions Summary report of main findings by Moneyval and the independent auditor”





MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Press Release


Anti-Money Laundering


The Cyprus Government is committed to the fight against money laundering and terrorist financing through continuous enhancement of its framework. To this end, amongst other, it has repeatedly been assessed on its framework and its implementation by Committee of Experts on the Evaluation of Anti-Money Laundering Measures and the Financing of Terrorism (MONEYVAL) receiving overall positive evaluations. At the same time the authorities have been addressing the relevant weaknesses raised after each evaluation.

Cyprus has also agreed to proceed with an in depth assessment of the effective implementation of Customer Due Diligence (CDD) requirements in the Cyprus banks, through relevant evaluations by MONEYVAL and Deloitte Italy. It should be noted that the nature and depth of these assessments are unique and have never been carried out in any other jurisdiction.

The outcome of the assessments by the two institutions indicates a solid level of compliance across the sector. On the assessment of Customer Due Diligence (CDD), Deloitte Italy notes that the results of the audit “appears to indicate a generally solid level of compliance across the six banks with the following areas requiring further attention” referring to 4 out of 27 areas on CDD.

MONEYAL respectively notes the following: “In general, the banks interviewed demonstrated high standards of knowledge and experience of AML/CFT issues, an intelligent awareness of the reputational risks they face and a broad commitment to implementing the customer due diligence (CDD) requirements set out in the law and in subsidiary regulations issued by the Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC). Implementation of CDD measures, as described by the banks, appeared strong under most headings.”

The relevant Reports also indicate weakness areas needing further improvement. Cyprus authorities in collaboration with Troika partners are committed to fully address these weaknesses.

23 May, 2013

Sources:
CBC press release – in English: Anti-money Laundering audit carried out in Cyprus (2013-05-23)
Ministry of Finance press release – in English: Press Release by the Ministry of Finance on Anti Money Laundering (2013-05-23)
Leaked summary: Η έκθεση της τρόικας για ξέπλυμα Ημερομηνία Δημοσίευσης (2013-05-16 10:11), with report as attached PDF file
MONEYVAL 2011 evaluation report of Cyprus: Evaluation report/ Rapport d’évaluation (2011-09-27) (217 pages)



In earlier news, on 15 May the Cypriot financial newssite Stockwatch leaked a 47-page internal document of the International Monetary Fund containing the drafts of statements by senior IMF personnel slated to be presented an Executive Board Meeting later that same day.  The statements all concern Cyprus, and although some of the opinions given in the statements are surprisingly frank – even explosive – the document received little attention outside of Cyprus.  Several of the statements blame a gap in the IMF’s surveillance for its inability to predict in advance the rapid worsening of the situation in Cyprus, and a number of them regard as overly optimistic the IMF staff prediction that economic growth will resume again in Cyprus in 2015.

The keynote statement, by Menno Snel and Ektoras Kanaris, contains the following unembellished description of the present situation in Cyprus:


Following political agreements in the Eurogroup on March 16 and 25, 2013, real GDP is now projected to contract by 12½% cumulatively in 2013-14. This arises largely from the frontloaded banking sector restructuring of the island’s two largest banks combined with the extensive bail-in of uninsured depositors. As these two banks constitute more than 70% of the domestic deposit market, the choice of this financing instrument will have severe implications on GDP via numerous channels. First, the loss of working capital by Cypriot businesses held at the two main banks is estimated to be around 50% or close to 100% of their deposits over €100,000, depending on the bank. Similarly, a number of households saw much of their wealth in the form of savings disappear overnight. Second, a liquidity shock is unraveling due to the remaining deposits in these banks being frozen for months; 90%-100% of deposits over €100,000 have either been converted or frozen. Third, the fallout from an irreversibly damaged sector that constituted a significant part of GDP i.e. banking, finance and related services. Fourth, the impact of fiscal consolidation already undertaken and new measures agreed will further hamper domestic demand. Finally, all of the above are amplified by the unprecedented internal and external capital controls required to safeguard financial stability. In turn, these will hinder international capital flows and reduce business volumes in both domestic and internationally oriented companies. Overall, the above channels will sharply reduce private consumption and business investment. Little relief can be expected from exports amid uncertain external conditions and a damaged financial service sector.


One of the more thought-provoking statements included in the document is replaced verbatim below in its entirety, with emphasis as per the original.  The authors are Brazilian economist Paulo Nogueira Batista, Jr., one of the IMF’s 24 executive directors, and Héctor R. Torres of Argentina, his alternate.


DOCUMENT OF INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
The contents of this document are preliminary and subject to change.


GRAY/13/1373

May 13, 2013


Statement by Mr. Nogueira Batista and Mr. Torres on Cyprus
(Preliminary)
Executive Board Meeting
May 15, 2013


We thank the staff for their well-structured paper and Messrs. Snell and Kanaris for their candid buff statement. Directors are confronted with a difficult decision. Either the Board approves a program that has little ownership and even less chances of success, or it runs the risk of exacerbating the crisis in Cyprus which could engulf bystanders as Slovenia or Malta and aggravate the problems in Greece. The Executive Board is at that route-fork right now. In our view, before deciding the road to take, the Board needs to receive further information and assessments from staff.

We start by acknowledging that this program is better than the first purported “sustainable solution” with “appropriate allocation of burden-sharing” that was fortunately shot-down by the Congress of Cyprus on March 19th. However, that is not a difficult mark to meet. The first package was unacceptable as it imposed losses on small insured depositors and did not differentiate between solvent and insolvent banks. It should have never been endorsed by Management, especially before consulting with the Board. In contrast, this program preserves insured depositors and does not impose losses on depositors of solvent banks. Also, by “bailing-in” uninsured depositors, it reduces the burden on tax-payers. However, direct recapitalization of insolvent banks by the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) would have been a far better option, with much higher chances of success. It would have not deprived Cypriot businesses from their working capital and medium-income households from their life-savings. Alas, this option was, as staff puts it, “not available” (i.e. not acceptable for Cyprus’ euro-area partners). Having said this, we turn now to our misgivings and doubts about the program.

How much and who? First and foremost we need to understand how much financial support Cyprus will need and where it would come from. According to the oral brief the Board received from the Director of the European Department on March 18, the total financial needs of Cyprus were around 17 billion. Cyprus requests to borrow from the Fund 1 billion; the ESM is expected to contribute with 9 billion. This adds up to €10 billion which is, according to staff, the overall financing package required to cover Cyprus’ external financing needs between 2013 Q2 and 2016 Q1 (para. 39 and Table 5). However, on April 12 a spokesman from the government of Cyprus was quoted as stating that financing costs through 2016 had risen from the initial estimate of €17.5 bn. to €23 bn. He did not provide details nor expand on how Cyprus was planning to raise the difference of 5.5 bn. but there was speculation that the gap (or at least part of it) would be covered by selling gold reserves from the Central Bank. Finally, the overall numbers put forward by staff in Table 5 are even more puzzling. According to the aforementioned table, on top of the €10 billion coming from the Europeans and from the IMF, Cyprus will need to borrow, presumably from private sources, over €85 billion between 2013 and 2016 (see “Sources of Financing”). This raises two questions: a) what is the actual number the IMF staff is working with: the original €17 billion, the figure of €23 billion put forward by the government spokesman or the €95 billion indicated in Table 5?; b) if the figures in Table 5 are correct, and Cyprus will need to complement the 10 billion coming from the IMF and the ESM by borrowing €85 billion between 2013-2016, who does staff believe would be willing to lend this amount to Cyprus?

An over-dose of optimism? Staff is projecting a cumulative drop in output of 13 percent for 2013 and 2014. Staff is also projecting that the primary fiscal balance will move from a deficit of 5.6 percent of GDP in 2012 to the surplus target of 4 percent of GDP in 2018. This huge fiscal effort would be quite difficult to materialize in any country, but even more in Cyprus that needs to find a new business model in the midst of the deepest crisis it has ever had, in an unfavorable international environment and while its euro-zone partners are themselves striving for more fiscal adjustment. Every program needs a pinch of optimism but in this one the required dose of good-will – or suspension of disbelief, if you will –goes way beyond the average. The two pillars of the economy in Cyprus are banks and tourism. The two biggest banks are insolvent. One will be liquidated and the survival of the other cannot be taken for granted. The government is now determined to do what previous governments could and should have done in better times; namely strengthen the anti-money laundering framework (hence presumably reducing flows of “dirty” money). Regarding tourism staff argues that, at least for this year, we may be reassured as capacity had been sold before the crisis. We wonder if the country’s touristic industry would not need to offer price-discounts to retain tourism in the coming years. We would appreciate staff’s comments on the following: a) what industries could replace the share of banking in Cyprus’ GDP and in what period of time could this happen?; b) are there any fiscal support measures for start-ups contemplated in the program; c) what happened to tourism in Greece after the crisis? does Greece’s experience provide any indication of what to expect in the case of Cyprus?

Capital restrictions: devaluation without benefits? Due to restrictions in capital outflows, one euro in Cyprus can buy less goods or services than one euro in any other partner of the monetary union. How long can this go on before creating a parallel market where a euro in Cyprus is traded for less than 100 cents in Germany? Wouldn’t this be tantamount to devaluation without recovering the independence of monetary policy? How could this affect the program? We would appreciate staff’s views. Assuming the Board approves this program, capital restrictions will need to be phased out with extreme care and adequate support from the ECB. The IMF may need to request Cyprus to impose restrictions on capital transfers in order to avoid the misuse of Fund resources (Article VI, Section 1 (a) of the Articles of Agreement).

A new business model with no new bank accounts? Staff notes that the aforementioned restrictions to capital outflows need to be applied together with the prohibition to open new bank accounts. The objective is to reduce the risk of deposit migration that could (further) undermine banks’ liquidity. We understand the objective but have doubts on whether banning the opening of new bank accounts would not increase the difficulties of initiating new businesses and ultimately undermine Cyprus’ tax-revenue base, preventing start-ups or pushing them into the informal economy. We would appreciate staff’s views.

What is “external” debt in Cyprus? Staff estimates Cyprus’ “external” debt at 450 percent of 2012 GDP. Considering that some of this debt may end up swelling the public balance sheet, we would like to receive clarification on the following: What is “external” regarding Cyprus’ liabilities? We understand that obtaining a residence in Cyprus was not particularly difficult; consequently we wonder if some of the “internal” debt could also be in the hands of actual non-residents?

Could privileged depositors create contingent liabilities for the sovereign? Staff notes that some uninsured depositors will be exempted from converting their claims into equity, and warned the authorities about the legal consequences of giving unequal treatment to uninsured depositors. In their statement, Messrs. Snell and Kanaris note that “Greek deposits in (the two insolvent) Cypriot banks were unaffected” (regardless of their amount). We would appreciate further clarification on this point. For instance, couldn’t UK residents claim the same treatment? Moreover, if Cyprus gives preferential treatment to residents in Greece, would this be consistent with Cyprus’ “most favored nation” obligation at the relevant WTO agreement (i.e. the GATS)? We also note that some banks and cooperatives, deemed to be solvent, will need public capital injections to survive. Uninsured depositors in these “solvent but under-capitalized” institutions will also be exempted from converting their claims (deposits) into equity (but will benefit from the injection of public funds). Given the context and the implications for depositors, we wonder if these rather subtle distinctions (between insolvent institutions and institutions that are solvent but need to be capitalized through public funds) would not also raise legal questions. Staff’s views will be appreciated.

Cooperatives: solvent overall? Staff notes that the cooperative sector, “assessed as a whole and given its mutual-guarantee structure” has been found to be solvent (para. 20). However, the sector’s NPLs averaged 38 percent of total loans at the end of 2012 (para. 23) and this figure may have risen further (NPLs in some cooperatives are as high as 80 percent!). Will the government need to capitalize cooperatives? Is this contemplated in the program?


Sources:
Στα τυφλά το IMF για το πρόγραμμα (2013-05-15 09:48), with link at bottom to PDF document
IMF internal document (from Stockwatch): DOCUMENT OF INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY – BUFF/ED/13/62 – Statement by Mr. Snel and Mr. Kanaris on Cyprus, Executive Board Meeting, May 15, 2013 (2013-05-10) 47 pages, 228 kB; file created 2013-05-13 19:15:14 and modified 2013-05-15 09:46:28
Article containing link to draft MOU by IMF leaked on 1 April: Το Κυπριακό Μνημόνιο με τις διορθώσεις των πρωταγωνιστών (2013-04-01)