Saturday, April 6, 2013

Hungary – MKB Bank reports loss of € 301 mln for 2012; Central bank to begin refinancing loans to SMEs at reduced interest rates; IMF issues country report for Hungary urging government to reverse the sharp decline in financial intermediation by banks without increasing government lending to the economy



On 5 April the commercial bank MKB Bank (MKB Bank Zrt.) issued annual reports for 2012, both a consolidated interim report according to IFRS and an unconsolidated interim report according to Hungarian Accounting Standards (Magyar Számviteli Szabványok).

Below are some highlights from the consolidated annual report, which besides MKB Bank’s core market of Hungary also includes activity in Romania (bank, leasing, and factoring) and Bulgaria (bank).  (1 EUR equaled 291.29 HUF at 31 Dec. 2012.)

Assets:
Total assets at end-2012 were HUF 2,579.2 bln (€ 8.85 bln), down 12.4% from the figure of HUF 2,943.9 bln at end-2011.  This is accounted for primarily by a 16.9% decline in the size of its loan portfolio (loans and advances to customers), from HUF 1,994.6 bln at end-2011 to HUF 1,658.4 bln at end-2012, but was partly offset by an increase in cash reserves during the same period, from HUF 321.7 bln to HUF 413.8 bln.  The notes to the statement explain that the decline in the value of the loan portfolio was due to a strengthening of the Hungarian forint with respect to the euro and the Swiss franc, since loans in foreign currencies make up a considerable part of the loan portfolio.

Liabilities:
Deposits declined by 5.1% in 2012, from HUF 1,463.5 bln to HUF 1,389.0 bln (€ 4.768 bln).

Income:
The bank registered a net loss for the year (adózás utáni eredmény) of HUF 87.7 bln (€ 301 mln), an improvement over the net loss of HUF 121.0 bln in 2011 and the loss of HUF 108.2 bln in 2010.

Net interest margin:
2010: 2.56%
2011: 3.07%
2012: 3.22%


MKB Bank is controlled by the German bank Bayerische Landesbank (BayernLB), which is headquartered in Munich.

Sources:
Consolidated report for 2011: Konszolidált éves jelentés IFRS. szerint - 2011. (2012-04-07)




On 4 April the Hungarian National Bank (Magyar Nemzeti Bank) announced that it would be beginning a program or refinancing for small and medium enterprises, the “Funding for Growth Scheme” – FGS (Növekedési Hitel Program – NHP).  The program is intended to reverse a decline in the volume of outstanding business loans which began in 1Q 2009.

The program will consist of three pillars:

I. The central bank will loan Hungarian forints (HUF) to interested commercial banks at an annual interest rate of 0% so that the banks can use them to refinance loans to small and medium enterprises (SMEs), preferably at an interest rate of 2%.  The maximum amount to be dedicated to this is HUF 250 bln (€ 0.8 bln).

II. The central bank will loan its foreign-exchange reserves to interested commercial banks at an annual interest rate of 0% so that the banks can use the funds to refinance foreign-currency loans of SMEs as HUF loans, preferably at an interest rate of 2%.  The maximum amount to ge dedicated to this is HUF 250 bln (€ 0.8 bln).

III. The central bank will use its foreign exchange reserves to reduce the country’s short-term external debt by HUF 1,000 bln (€ 3.3 bln).

How the first pillar of the program will function

Source:




In earlier news, on 29 March the International Monetary Fund issued a staff report on Hungary.  The report, 49 pages in length, was completed on 5 March.  The sections of the report that deal primarily with the banking sector are reproduced below verbatim.  (Emphasis as per original.)


[...]

RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS

[...]

5. Financial intermediation declined sharply. Banks have continued to scale down their operations under pressure from heavy taxation, losses from government mortgage relief schemes, and rising NPLs (Figure 3). The reduction in external funding accelerated beyond the pace seen in peer countries, and the loan-to-deposits ratio dropped sharply to 111 percent at end-2012. Most of this reflects reduced lending as the deposit base has remained broadly stable. Banks have tightened their lending standards and are less willing to expand in the corporate sector, particularly to small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Demand for new loans, especially from households, is also very weak. Non-performing loans (NPLs) continued to increase in both the retail and corporate segments (reaching 15 percent and 21 percent, respectively).1 Restructured loans are on the rise (11 percent of all loans), reflecting the implicit incentive by the absence of penalties in the form of provisions.

1 Part of the increase in household NPLs reflects the impact from the mortgage pre-payment scheme which reduced the total value of loans.

[...]

POLICY DISCUSSIONS

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C. Financial Sector—Restore Conditions for Financial Intermediation

23. While the banking system is generally stable, important vulnerabilities remain. Banks’ average capital adequacy ratio (CAR) as of end-2012 (15 percent) appears adequate and stress tests conducted by the Central Bank indicate an improvement in the shock-absorbing capacity of the banking sector as a whole. However, with subdued economic activity, rising nonperforming and restructured loans, possibly over-stated collateral, and a heavy tax burden,8 banks’ profitability is projected to remain low. In this difficult landscape, banks are planning to further scale down their operations. Credit growth is projected to remain negative in 2013 on the back of weak household demand and banks’ limited appetite to lend. Reduction of parent banks’ cross-border exposure (including to their subsidiaries) is likely to continue, albeit at a more gradual pace, and thus contribute to the negative credit growth and weak economic activity in the period ahead.9

24. Higher bank provisioning is needed in view of the worsening asset quality and weak collateral. Rising corporate and household NPLs point to the risk of further losses,10 particularly given the relatively low provisioning (47 percent), and the high level of restructured and evergreened loans.11 Staff underscored that adequate provisioning, including through more frequent and realistic appraisals of collateral, would help minimize uncertainty regarding future losses and assist with the cleanup of balance sheets.12 In addition, staff stressed the need for closer monitoring of repeated loan restructurings to ensure that non-performing loans are adequately reported and provisioned for.

25. Speeding up portfolio cleaning is desirable but banks’ capacity to absorb further losses is limited. Portfolio cleaning remains sluggish. Staff concurred with the authorities that resolution of NPLs should be led by banks in a cooperative fashion, yet noted that a more proactive approach, which would provide incentives for the banks to clean up their portfolios, is warranted. In this regard, staff stressed the need to remove legal, tax and regulatory impediments to facilitate speedy liquidation of collateral while keeping an adequate balance between creditors and debtors rights.13 Establishing a personal insolvency framework would also help expedite the portfolio cleaning process. Staff noted that developing an out-of-court debt restructuring framework would reduce present delays and high collection costs while further alleviating the pressure on the judicial system. Staff welcomed the establishment of the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA), though saw room to relax the participation requirements and change its financing structure to reduce the burden on the treasury.14

26. Banks need more stable sources of external funding to reduce reliance on FX swaps. The stock of FX swaps (used to hedge on-balance sheet open FX positions) declined in 2012, in tandem with the reduction in banks’ FX assets. But at a level of €10 billion (about 10 percent of GDP) and with relatively short maturity (on average 1½ years), FX swaps represent a significant vulnerability to the financial system as they can amplify the negative effects of external shocks on the exchange rate. Staff noted the recent improvements in the macro-prudential regulatory framework, including the introduction of the FX Funding Adequacy Ratio (FFAR),15 and stressed that, as the reduction of banks’ FX assets continues, banks should be encouraged to turn to more stable sources of external financing. In this regard, staff also welcomed the authorities’ efforts to reduce the rollover and liquidity risks associated with FX swaps by negotiating with the banks to voluntarily limit their off-balance sheet net FX position to below 15 percent of total assets.

27. Hungarian banks’ regional operations should continue to be monitored to minimize the risk of potential adverse outward spillovers. The largest domestic bank has several subsidiaries in the region accounting for about 40 percent of its total assets. While these subsidiaries are mostly small, they are relatively large in Bulgaria and Montenegro (among the top three banks by bank assets).16 The HFSA is in regular contact with host country supervisors and staff does not see an imminent risk of systemic spillovers in the host countries from the activities of this bank. Continued effective supervision of banking group’s and enhanced cooperation with host country supervisory agencies will be critical to ensure the stability and soundness of host country financial systems.

28. Staff warned against an increased role of the government in providing credit to the economy, particularly given the limited fiscal space. The government’s efforts to facilitate lending to SMEs through tax incentives, refinancing, and direct lending by the state-controlled banks has had little success so far, and further efforts to expand the government’s involvement in lending to the private sector are underway. Staff argued that the most efficient way to restore credit growth is through improving the broader policy framework and its predictability, including by abolishing the bank levy, which is delinked from banks’ current size and performance. Staff, in this regard, welcomed the governments’ intent to re-engage with banks in an effort to establish a better operational environment.

Authorities’ views

29. The authorities agreed that the lack of financial intermediation undermines economic activity. They concurred that credit is likely to continue to contract in 2013 due to both demand and supply factors. They saw a role for government action, including through credit guarantees and mortgage rate subsidies, to improve SMEs’ access to credit and reduce the cost of borrowing to households. While agreeing that the high share of NPLs and restructured loans burdens banks’ balance sheets, the authorities expressed concern that forcing banks to move faster with portfolio cleaning would amplify their losses, particularly given the weak real estate market. The MNB agreed that the regulatory framework could be strengthened to ensure adequate provisioning. However, the financial supervision authority (HFSA) was more optimistic arguing that loan-loss provisioning is adequate and the recent improvement in the banks’ capital position would be sufficient to withstand possible losses. The HFSA noted its intent to issue guidelines to banks within the first half of 2013, requiring additional provisions for loans that have been restructured multiple times. They also stressed their plans to enforce stricter collateral valuation for real estate, and harmonize appraisal methods across banks. The authorities are working on a bank resolution framework, including with IMF technical assistance, aiming to submit legislation for parliamentary approval by June-2013.

8 The levy imposed on banks has a fixed base reflecting the size of the banks’ balance sheets in 2009. However, since then, some banks’ balance sheets have contracted by as much as 20 percent, resulting in a rising tax burden.
9 See Selected Issues Paper “NPLs in CESEE: Determinants and Impact on Macroeconomic Performance”.
10 The recent rise in NPL ratio in the household segment is in part due to the early mortgage repayment scheme, which reduced the stock of outstanding household loans by 12 percent.
11 This in part reflects banks’ reluctance to realize losses in the face of a frozen real estate market.
12 Adequate provisioning would reduce the system-wide capital adequacy ratio but would still leave it above the minimum requirement.
13 For instance, by reconsidering the regulations for debt cancellation, such that under certain conditions it would not result in income for debtors (i.e. no tax consequence), and could be booked as cost by banks (i.e. tax shield effect).
14 NAMA started to operate in the summer of 2012 with the objective of helping lower income families who are unable to repay their loans by purchasing their properties and renting them back at a price determined by law. It is not clear, however, whether NAMA would be able to purchase the full 25,000 properties allowed by the law by 2014 given the strict requirements (for example, only those that have at least one child and receive some sort of social benefits are eligible to participate).
15 The liquidity buffer has to exceed 20 percent of corporate and retail deposits and/or exceed 10 percent of total assets (January 2012). Under FFAR, the ratio of stable FX funding (including FX swaps above one year) to FX assets needs to exceed 65 percent.
16 Other subsidiaries are located in Russia, Ukraine, Croatia, Romania, Slovakia, and Serbia, and make up between 1 and 7 percent of total banking group assets each. They are increasingly locally funded and are more active in retail banking, though some specialize in corporate lending.

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STAFF APPRAISAL

[...]

38. Restoring financial intermediation is critical for economic recovery. A turnaround in bank lending requires improving the banking system’s operational environment. Key steps include scaling down the tax burden on the financial sector and facilitating conditions to help banks clean up their asset portfolio from rising NPLs, including by removing tax, legal, and regulatory obstacles that hamper the resolution of impaired assets. This would be a more effective and less costly way to support credit growth than resorting to ad-hoc initiatives involving tax incentives, credit guarantees, and on-lending by state-controlled banks. At the same time, the authorities should step up the monitoring of NPL classification and provisioning, including for repeatedly restructured loans.

[...]


Source:


Mark Pleas
Eastern Europe Banking & Deposits Consultant