Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Russia – Net profit of Bank of Moscow in 2012 up 45% to € 204 mln, National Reserve Bank posts loss for 2012 of € 3.2 mln, IMF mission meets with Bank of Russia’s Ignatiev and issues statement about state of Russian economy


Filings with the Bank of Russia indicate that the commercial bank Bank of Moscow (АКБ «Банк Москвы» ОАО)  recorded for 2012 a net profit (прибыль после налогообложения) of 8.215 bln RUB (€ 204 mln) as calculated by Russian accounting standards (“RAS” – РСБУ).  This is an increase of 45.3% over the net profit of 5.653 bln RUB recorded in 2011, but still well below the net profit of 11.391 bln RUB registered in 2010.  (On 31 Dec. 2012 one euro equaled 40.2446 RUB.)

As of 31 December 2012 the bank was ranked #6 among Russian banks by assets, with net assets of 1.377 trillion RUB (€ 34.21 bln), equivalent to roughly 10% of the assets of Russia’s largest bank, Sberbank (13.591 tln RUB).

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Filings with the Bank of Russia also indicate that the commercial bank National Reserve Bank (АКБ «Национальный Резервный Банк» ОАО) recorded for 2012 a net loss (убыток после налогообложения) of 130.78 mln RUB (€ 3.259 mln) as calculated according to RAS.  This compares with a net profit of 122 mln RUB recorded by the bank in 2011 and a net profit of 2,934 mln RUB in 2010.  In 2012 the bank worked on cost optimization by selling off shares on its balance sheet and non-core assets.

As of 31 December 2012 the bank was ranked #116 among Russian banks by assets, with net assets of 31.63 bln RUB (€ 786 mln). 

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On 23 January the rating agency AK&M (ЗАО «Рейтинговое агентство AK&M») confirmed its earlier credit rating of “A” on the national scale – with an outlook of “stable” – for the commercial bank IntrustBank (АКБ «ИнтрастБанк» ОАО).

The main positive factors affecting the decision were growth in the bank’s own funds (24.5% increase in the first 11 months of 2012), the bank’s liquidity measures (N2 = 72.8%, N3 = 87.4%, and N4 = 26.3% as of 1 Dec. 2012), and the bank’s good performance (asset growth and net income), while negative factors were the low quality of the bank’s capital (Tier 2 / Tier 1 = 75.9% as of 1 Dec. 2012), the low quality of its loan portfolio (Category 1 = 2.6%, Category 2 = 49.4%, Category 3 = 44.4%), and a relatively high concentration of credit risk (N7 = 519.98%, but still below the Bank of Russia’s maximum of 800%).

IntrustBank, which is headquartered in Moscow and received its banking license in 2002, had net assets of 11.922 bln RUB (€ 296.2 mln) as of 31 December 2012, making it rank #236 among Russian banks for net assets.

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On 22 January the Bank of Russia issued a monthly statistical update on the banking sector in Russia.  The following are some highlights:

In 2012 the total assets of commercial banks grew by 18.9%, from 41,627.5 bln RUB to 49,509.6 bln RUB (€ 1,230.2 bln).  Of assets in the banking sector, the share of assets held by banks going through bankruptcy-prevention measures declined from 4.5% at the beginning of 2012 to 3.9% at the end of the year.

In terms of profitability, in 2012 a total of 901 of Russia’s 956 registered banks recorded profits or broke even, for a combined total of 1,021.3 bln RUB (€ 25.38 bln), while the remaining 55 banks showed a combined loss of 9.4 bln RUB (€ 0.23 bln).  For comparison, in 2011 a total of 928 out of Russia’s 978 banks had profits or broke even (combined profit of 848.2 bln RUB), while 50 banks registered losses (combined loss of 5.6 bln RUB).

The concentration of the banking sector remained largely unchanged in 2012: as of 1 January 2013 the top 5 banks in Russia had 50.3% of all system assets, the next 15 banks (#6-20) controlled 19.5% of all assets, and the next 30 banks (#21-50) controlled 11.6% of assets, while the banks ranked 51-200 had 12.9% of assets, the three hundred banks ranked 201-500 together had just 4.5% of assets, and the remaining several hundred banks (#501-956) controlled a mere 1.1% of assets in the commercial banking system.

In 2012 total loans to individuals grew by 39.4%, from 5,539.7 bln RUB to 7,721.9 bln RUB (€ 191.87 bln), while overdue loans to individuals during the same period increased 7.6%, from 290.4 bln RUB to 312.5 bln RUB (€ 7.77 bln).

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In other news, on 23 January, at the conclusion of a visit to Russia by a team from the International Monetary Fund, the IMF issued a press release.  The brief press release is reproduced below in its entirety.  (Emphasis as per original.)


An International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission headed by Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo visited Moscow during January 16-23. The team met with Finance Minister Siluanov, Central Bank of Russia Governor Ignatiev, other senior officials, representatives of the business community, and academics. At the conclusion of the visit, Mr. Spilimbergo made the following statement today in Moscow:

A moderate expansion of the Russian economy of 3.7 percent is projected for 2013. In 2012, the Russian economy experienced historically low unemployment with high capacity utilization, though growth slowed somewhat to 3.6 percent from 4.3 percent in 2011. The outlook is subject to downside risks, notably from international oil prices. Domestic risks include a negative impact from rapid retail credit growth. Inflation is expected to ease slightly to around six percent in 2013, and will remain above the medium-term target without further policy action.

The macroeconomic policy framework is moving in the right direction. The authorities have strengthened their capacity and buffers to manage volatility and crises, and have adopted a new fiscal rule and a more flexible exchange rate policy. Further strengthening of the macroeconomic framework, as well as an acceleration of structural reforms, are needed to achieve higher, sustainable growth.

Strict and transparent implementation of the new oil price-based fiscal rule will help smooth spending volatility and contain spending pressures. However, under the rule, the non-oil fiscal deficit will stay above the level that is consistent with replenishing fiscal buffers, facilitating balanced economic growth, and ensuring adequate saving of the income from the nation's exhaustible oil resources. The authorities should consider a gradual shift to a more conservative oil reference price rule. A tighter fiscal stance would also help contain inflationary pressure. Fiscal adjustment will need to be underpinned by reforms, including of the pension and health care systems. Securing sustainability of the pension system necessitates an increase in the effective pension age and contribution period.

Monetary policy should stay on hold for now, but maintain a tightening bias. The Central Bank of Russia should stand ready to take further action to head off price pressures, especially if steps towards more fiscal adjustment are not undertaken. The mission supports the Central Bank of Russia's planned move to formal inflation targeting and to bring the headline inflation rate down to 4-5 percent by 2014. To this end, further increases in exchange rate flexibility and improvements in the monetary operations framework are critical.

In the financial sector, further steps to promote sound financial intermediation are needed to help underpin investment, growth, and macroeconomic stability. Key shortcomings identified in the 2011 IMF assessment of Russia’s financial sector should be addressed. To strengthen the supervisory framework, the Central Bank of Russia should be granted adequate authority to effectively supervise bank holding companies and related entities, to address connected lending, and to use professional judgment in applying regulations to individual banks. In response to the emerging risk of overheating in retail lending, the Central Bank of Russia should stand ready to implement further prudential measures as needed, in addition to those recently announced.

Structural reforms should be accelerated to boost sustainable economic growth. Russia’s recent WTO accession should strengthen the business climate by making it more rules-based and predictable, and should be seized upon to strengthen the momentum for domestic reforms. We broadly agree with the current plans to strengthen the investment climate, the government’s privatization agenda, and the recommendations in Russia’s Strategy 2020 report. Accelerated implementation of these plans is paramount.”

Source:
IMF press release: Statement by IMF Mission to Russia (2013-01-23)


Finally, on 24 January the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia, which is headed by the bank’s governor, Sergey Mikhaylovich Ignatiev (Сергей Михайлович Игнатьев, Председатель Центрального банка Российской Федерации), is scheduled to hold an extraordinary meeting to consider candidates for two deputy chairman positions.  According to insiders who spoke with the news service Liga, the most likely candidates for the two posts are Alexei Tkachenko (Алексей Ткаченко), presently director of the central bank’s General Department of Banking Supervision, and Nikolai N. Udovichenko (Николай Николаевич Удовиченко), the CEO of Ukreximbank.

Sources:
Biography of Nikolai N. Udovichenko at site of Ukreximbank: Руководство » Председатель правления


Mark Pleas
Eastern Europe Banking & Deposits Consultant