Thursday, February 7, 2013

Armenia – Bank association publishes banking sector’s results for 2012, IMF publishes staff report that assesses country’s banking sector as “robust”


On 31 January the Union of Banks of Armenia (Հայաստանի բանկերի միություն) held a conference to present a summary of the results for the country’s commercial banking sector in 2012.  The highlights are given below.  (As of 31 Dec. 2012 one euro equaled 532.10 AMD.)

Capital: During 2012 the total capital of Armenia’s 21 commercial banks increased 10.5% to 409.51 bln AMD (€ 769.60 mln).  The ratio of banks’ total capital to GDP rose slightly in 2012, increasing from 9.8% at end-2011 to 9.9% at end-2012.  (Armenia’s GDP in 2012 was 4,150 bln AMD – € 7,799 mln.)

Assets: Total assets at Armenia’s commercial banks increased 18.0% during 2012 to reach 2,412.2 bln AMD (€ 4,533 mln).  The ratio of total assets to GDP increased from 54.2% at end-2011 to 58.1% at end-2012.

Loans: The total loan portfolio of the commercial banks increased 21.1% in 2012 to finish the year at 1,517.95 bln AMD (€ 2,852.7 mln).

NPLs: The proportion of non-performing loans to total loans finished the year at 3.6%.

Liabilities: Total liabilities of the commercial banks grew 19.7% during 2012 to finish the year at 2,002.66 bln AMD (€ 3,763.7 mln).

Deposits: In 2012 total deposits increased 7.4% to 1,132.00 bln AMD (€ 2,127.4 mln).  The ratio of total deposits to GDP increased from 25.7% at end-2011 to 27.3% at end-2012.

Profits: During 2012 total profits for commercial banks increased 15.0% to 42.696 bln AMD (€ 80.24 mln).  ROA in 2012 was 2.0%, down from 2.4% in 2011, while ROE in 2012 was 11.2%, down from 12.6% in 2011.

Branches: In 2012 the number of bank branches in Armenia rose by 28 to reach 494 branches, an increase of 6.0%.

(N.B.: For the period between December 2011 and December 2012 the Central Bank of Armenia calculates that core inflation averaged 3.5%, while over the same period the National Statistical Service reports that the consumer price index rose by 3.2%.)

Sources:
CBA: Statistical Data: Inflation: Core inflation


In other news, on 5 January the International Monetary Fund published a staff report on Armenia that referred briefly to the country’s banking system.  The report was completed on 20 November 2012 following a visit to Yerevan by an IMF team on 5-18 September.  Below are reproduced verbatim the sections dealing with Armenia’s banking sector, with emphasis as per the original.


RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS

[...]

6. Credit growth has been strong, especially in foreign currency (FX), but the banking sector remains robust. Credit grew by 24 percent yoy through August, with FX loans growing by 27 percent. Banks remain well capitalized, with a capital ratio of almost 17 percent, and no bank below 12 percent. Despite the strong growth, the credit-to-GDP ratio remains relatively low.

[...]

FIFTH REVIEWS UNDER THE EFF/ECF

[...]

A. Monetary and Exchange Policy and the Financial Sector

[...]

13. The CBA is continuing efforts to strengthen the interest rate channel (LOI ¶11). Interbank interest rates continued to exhibit significant volatility in mid- 2012, and staff urged the CBA to further strengthen operations to increase the relevance of the policy rate. The CBA noted that the width of the interest rate corridor had been reduced from 600 to 400 basis points to reinforce the transmission mechanism; the corridor was further narrowed to 300 bps in early November. The CBA also pledged to step up fine-tuning operations while strengthening communications to better anchor expectations.

14. The banking system is sound, although it remains heavily dollarized. With high capital adequacy and dram liquidity ratios and moderate rates of NPLs and profitability, banks remain sound. Nonetheless, since the 2009 crisis, credit has become increasingly dollarized, and almost two-thirds of loans are denominated in FX (up nine percentage points from a year ago).2  Staff advised the CBA to assess possible policy actions, including expanding the difference between reserve requirements for FX and dram liabilities and further adjusting capital ratios for FX-denominated loans.

15. The CBA is improving the regulatory and supervisory framework in line with FSAP recommendations (LOI ¶12–13).3  The CBA introduced a new prudential norm for bank FX liquidity ratios, effective in January 2013, and is committed to gradually increasing these ratios. The CBA also required banks to report on potential currency mismatches of large borrowers. Staff suggested using this new information to strengthen the assessment of sectoral risks and tailor stress-testing guidance to banks. In line with FSAP recommendations, the CBA will require banks to immediately report changes that have a material adverse impact and will review calculation of large exposures to determine whether treatment is in line with best practice. The CBA and government will assess whether changes are needed to streamline the execution of collateral, following recent reforms to the system of property registration.

2 The increase in credit dollarization has occurred even as the CBA increased loan-loss provisioning requirements and capital risk weights for FX loans in 2010. The loan dollarization rise may have been due in part to bank efforts to limit currency mismatches, particularly as a significant share of funding attracted by banks has been in foreign currency and after the CBA’s shift of the currency of denomination of reserve requirements for FX liabilities to dram. As banks converted these required reserves to dram, they may have rebalanced the currency match on their balance sheets by increasing FX loans.
3 The FSAP Update was considered by the IMF Executive Board in June 2012.

Source:
  

Mark Pleas
Eastern Europe Banking & Deposits Consultant