On 27 November the
newspaper “Novosti”, citing a professor of banking in Belgrade , revealed that the
National Bank of Serbia (Народна банка
Србије) is planning to have an independent fund be established to track and
deal with problem loans in Serbia . According to Assoc. Prof. Boško (Branko) Živanović
of the Belgrade Banking Academy (Beogradska bankarska akademija), the National
Bank wants the banks themselves to set up such a fund, since at present the low
credit rating and the fiscal difficulties of the government itself make it infeasible
for such a fund to be set up under public direction.
According to Prof. Živanović,
the problem of non-performing loans in Serbia is far more
serious than official statistics indicate.
Although the National Bank’s statistics indicate an overall rate of NPLs
of 19.9%, he states that among loans to businesses the rate exceeds 25%, and in
the agricultural sector it exceeds 50% for certain banks, while in the
construction sector reliable figures are impossible to come by because many
failing construction firms have been merged with other companies. He judges that the banking system itself is in
no danger because both capital adequacy (17%) and loss reserves (120%) are
sufficient, but notes that the second tier of foreign-owned banks have worse
problems with NPLs than do the state-owned banks because the excessive number
of commercial banks present in the market has led to undue competition in expanding
loan portfolios.
Mark Pleas
[contact]